Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2819.630484 3048.661844 3280.713196 3533.112496 3799.584650 4072.235038 4371.972362
2025-01-05 2449.971078 2791.218545 3149.939935 3553.921488 3994.975268 4460.678408 4988.353066
2025-01-12 2201.673975 2608.977388 3049.019988 3557.272720 4125.581088 4738.981034 5448.558452
2025-01-19 1944.343883 2387.182502 2877.447180 3456.403528 4117.251505 4843.978799 5699.384015
2025-01-26 1859.516746 2348.999128 2901.552873 3565.528305 4335.620742 5194.672562 6219.214720
2025-02-02 1767.945384 2293.479532 2897.523326 3635.029430 4502.852361 5483.394752 6666.558489
2025-02-09 1650.508215 2198.273991 2839.139342 3633.821821 4582.016011 5666.521124 6989.647618
2025-02-16 1533.624125 2095.944622 2765.282731 3607.726056 4626.292331 5804.767162 7257.456290
2025-02-23 1461.934201 2044.513993 2748.661772 3646.585138 4744.797179 6028.100393 7624.063476
2025-03-02 1376.531491 1970.703841 2700.060248 3642.385598 4808.141468 6183.758276 7909.396171
2025-03-09 1324.870912 1936.849820 2698.455448 3693.845039 4937.580212 6417.703374 8288.332644
2025-03-16 1242.131029 1858.115933 2636.295458 3666.102503 4966.684870 6528.511110 8518.066333
2025-03-23 1206.950654 1841.666104 2653.898509 3740.225813 5124.639313 6799.786347 8947.817957
2025-03-30 1152.003227 1795.996624 2631.607849 3761.928384 5216.270066 6990.146696 9280.565583
2025-04-06 1093.900922 1742.969176 2597.018373 3765.423499 5283.118125 7148.905279 9574.396451
2025-04-13 998.188838 1632.969495 2482.379741 3660.207682 5207.418809 7127.163861 9642.645220
2025-04-20 990.373895 1646.608994 2533.777978 3774.033377 5414.275267 7460.721095 10154.874220
2025-04-27 968.280680 1638.438122 2554.536980 3846.508655 5567.510701 7727.375670 10585.077031
2025-05-04 921.840810 1592.623158 2521.618776 3845.249498 5623.236504 7869.811982 10859.351387
2025-05-11 869.563074 1535.720569 2471.063153 3818.038700 5643.143180 7965.445360 11074.017885
2025-05-18 842.437928 1515.217687 2470.618414 3858.557400 5752.484468 8176.049319 11435.621911
2025-05-25 802.703686 1473.676862 2438.656487 3854.178729 5800.847630 8307.454343 11696.291063
2025-06-01 782.860740 1461.894285 2448.718003 3907.829421 5927.209916 8540.594077 12088.662543